Experts Say

Slouching Toward War With North Korea

The New York Times
November 4, 2017
By Nicholas Kristof

John Brennan, the former head of the C.I.A., estimates the chance of a war with North Korea at 20 to 25 percent. Joel S. Wit, a Korea expert at Johns Hopkins University, puts it at 40 percent. Richard Haass, the president of the Council on Foreign Relations, says the odds may be somewhere around 50/50. Yet we’re complacent: Neither the public nor the financial markets appreciate how high the risk is of a war, and how devastating one could be.
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