Experts Say

Six steps to stop a war between North Korea and the US from starting


December 19, 2017
By Kevin Rudd

Armed conflict on the Korean peninsula is an increasing possibility, but not a probability. I judge that the possibility is somewhere above 25 per cent, but less than the 50 per cent spoken of by others. But Iím worried that this number continues to edge upwards. This reassessment has been driven in large part by the advances in North Koreaís military capabilities Ė most recently the launch of the Hwasong-15 intercontinental ballistic missile, which many analysts believe has the range to strike the east coast of the US. The core reason given by Pyongyang for the development of its missile and nuclear programmes is regime survival.
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